Sarnen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 0
BUO
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 2
SAR
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
SAR
4 - 0
SAR
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 6
SAR
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SAR
1 - 7
FCA
21%
23%
57%
|
23 | 68 | 45 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AAR
5 - 1
LUZ
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LUG
3 - 1
AAR
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
IBA
2 - 2
AAR
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
AAR
2 - 3
BUO
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 1
AAR
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |