Sarmiento vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 1
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAR
20%
27%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAR
1 - 0
STM
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 0
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARM
0 - 0
SUA
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
STM
0 - 1
SUA
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |