Sarmiento vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VSC
3 - 1
SAR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 1
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAR
29%
27%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SAR
4 - 0
COM
79%
15%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CCO
0 - 3
SAR
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 0
VSC
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 1
SUA
36%
30%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 3
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
SUA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SUA
2 - 0
CCO
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |