Sarmiento vs Platense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
SAR
4 - 0
TEM
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 1
SAR
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAR
1 - 0
SUA
68%
21%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
SAR
2 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Platense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
3 - 2
MOR
61%
25%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
DEF
0 - 2
PLA
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
TEM
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SUA
1 - 1
PLA
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |