Sarmiento vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
GIM
58%
26%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SPB
0 - 2
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALM
2 - 4
SAR
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
VSC
51%
30%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
HUR
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
IRV
0 - 0
FER
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FER
2 - 0
ATT
37%
32%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |