Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
SAR
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 2
SUA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
VSC
3 - 1
SAR
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
0 - 1
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAR
29%
27%
43%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 2
COM
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
TEM
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
EST
0 - 1
DEF
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
ALM
44%
28%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
COL
1 - 0
DEF
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |