Sarmiento vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MER
2 - 2
SAR
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
SAR
0 - 0
ARM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
STM
0 - 1
SAR
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
SAR
1 - 2
BRO
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
ALB
2 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
TEM
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
COM
1 - 2
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
1 - 2
MOR
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ACA
3 - 1
DEF
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |