Sarmiento vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAR
76%
17%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SAR
1 - 3
COL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 0
SAR
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
DYJ
20%
24%
56%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAR
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 1
ALD
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GLP
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 2
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GOD
2 - 1
LAN
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 3
GOD
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |