Sarmiento II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 0
SAR
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 1
RIV
40%
24%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
SAR
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 1
ALD
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GLP
2 - 3
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
2 - 2
CAU
50%
24%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 2
VEL
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
VEL
1 - 0
LAN
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |