Sarmiento II vs Vélez Sarsfield II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
SAR
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 3
GOC
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 0
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
VEL
55%
22%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 2
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 4
GLP
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
2 - 4
VEL
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |