Sarmiento II vs San Martín San Juan II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LAN
0 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOC
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
GOC
24%
24%
52%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín San Juan II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
SMS
1 - 1
ROC
15%
19%
66%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
RST
2 - 1
SMS
68%
17%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
SMS
1 - 0
ATL
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
SMS
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -8 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
SMS
0 - 4
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |