Sarmiento II vs River Plate II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
GLP
4 - 2
SAR
63%
22%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 2
TAL
31%
25%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
2 - 2
BRC
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ROC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
RST
46%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
1 - 4
ROC
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
RST
1 - 1
RIV
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
SMS
1 - 3
RIV
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
RIV
3 - 1
LAN
62%
19%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |