Sarmiento II vs Quilmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
GLP
25%
24%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 0
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
SAR
61%
21%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Quilmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
PAT
60%
20%
21%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
QUI
57%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
COL
38%
23%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 2
HUR
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ARS
2 - 0
QUI
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |