Sarmiento II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2017 |
VEL
0 - 2
SAR
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
TAL
17%
19%
65%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 2
ROC
33%
23%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 1
DYJ
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SMS
2 - 2
SAR
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
TIG
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
PAT
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
GOC
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 0
PAT
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAR
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |