Sarmiento II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
0 - 1
SAR
39%
27%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
TIG
28%
26%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAR
63%
21%
16%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
BEL
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
3 - 1
GOC
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 0
CCS
70%
17%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 2
LAN
28%
25%
47%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 2
TIG
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 2
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |