Sarmiento II vs Lanús II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
HUR
1 - 1
SAR
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
4 - 2
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 2
SAR
43%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 2
DYJ
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 6
NOB
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
GLP
3 - 2
LAN
27%
26%
48%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
4 - 2
PAT
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BAN
0 - 0
LAN
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 0
LAN
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |