Sarmiento II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
NOB
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
EST
3 - 1
SAR
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 2
ARS
41%
24%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
OLI
4 - 1
SAR
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
TIG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 0
IND
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
IND
5 - 3
GOC
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
IND
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 1
IND
23%
22%
56%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |