Sarmiento II vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 3
VEL
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
SAR
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 3
GOC
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
2 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 1
QUI
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
IND
5 - 1
PAT
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
5 - 4
IND
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
RAC
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
GOC
3 - 1
IND
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -3 |