Sarmiento II vs Gimnasia La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 2
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
CAU
42%
25%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
CCS
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
GOC
1 - 0
SAR
33%
25%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 2
LAN
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
GLP
1 - 0
GOC
54%
23%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 1
GLP
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GLP
0 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
TIG
1 - 0
GLP
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
GLP
0 - 3
ARG
36%
26%
38%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |