Sarmiento II vs Estudiantes La Plata II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SMS
5 - 2
SAR
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 3
DYJ
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAR
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
SAR
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
ATR
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
NOB
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IND
2 - 3
EST
73%
16%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
NCR
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |