Sarmiento II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
SAR
60%
23%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
27%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
GOC
0 - 0
SAR
31%
26%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
NOB
34%
26%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
6 - 0
SAR
53%
25%
22%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
GOC
1 - 0
DYJ
45%
25%
30%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
DYJ
3 - 2
NOB
19%
25%
57%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
DYJ
65%
21%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DYJ
1 - 2
EST
32%
27%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 2
DYJ
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |