Sarmiento II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
SMS
2 - 2
SAR
32%
22%
46%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAR
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
COL
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
SAR
69%
18%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 2
RAC
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 2
QUI
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
DYJ
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
DYJ
1 - 1
LAN
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
CAU
4 - 0
DYJ
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
DYJ
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |