Sarmiento II vs Defensa y Justicia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 0
SAR
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
SAR
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
ATR
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 2
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 0
TIG
25%
23%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
3 - 1
ARS
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DYJ
2 - 3
NOB
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 2
DYJ
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
HUR
1 - 0
DYJ
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
DYJ
1 - 0
ALD
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |