Sarmiento II vs Deportivo Riestra II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
SMS
67%
18%
14%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LAN
0 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOC
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
IND
0 - 0
SAR
59%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Riestra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
RST
1 - 2
ROC
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
RST
1 - 0
DYJ
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
RST
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
RST
2 - 1
SMS
68%
17%
14%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
LAN
1 - 1
RST
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |