Sarmiento II vs Belgrano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
SAR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
RAC
33%
25%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
GOC
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 3
BEL
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARS
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 0
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
ARG
52%
24%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |