Sarmiento II vs Belgrano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
SAR
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOB
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 3
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
RIV
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Belgrano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
NOB
36%
25%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
BEL
61%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
BEL
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 2
RIV
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |