Sarmiento II vs Barracas Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ROC
2 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 1
RST
46%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
2 - 2
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
SMS
67%
18%
14%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LAN
0 - 1
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barracas Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BRC
1 - 2
NOB
12%
20%
68%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
DYJ
0 - 0
BRC
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
BRC
0 - 1
CCS
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ALD
4 - 0
BRC
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
BRC
0 - 0
BAN
17%
24%
59%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |