Sarmiento II vs Barracas Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 2
TAL
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 2
SAR
66%
20%
13%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
LAN
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
HUR
1 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 1
DYJ
54%
24%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barracas Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
BRC
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 4
RIV
18%
20%
63%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 0
BRC
63%
20%
17%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BRC
0 - 3
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
RST
1 - 0
BRC
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |