Sarmiento II vs Barracas Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
LAN
30%
25%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CCS
0 - 1
SAR
41%
25%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
DYJ
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 0
SAR
68%
19%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 4
TAL
17%
18%
66%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 2
BRC
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
BRC
1 - 2
ATL
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 0
BRC
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
BRC
2 - 1
RIV
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |