Sarmiento II vs Barracas Central II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 1
SAR
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
CCS
50%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ARS
2 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOB
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 0
SAR
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BRC
2 - 2
ALD
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
GLP
5 - 0
BRC
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRC
3 - 2
VEL
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GOC
2 - 0
BRC
64%
20%
16%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BRC
1 - 3
HUR
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |