Sarmiento II vs Atl. Tucumán II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 2
SAR
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 1
TAL
51%
22%
26%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SLO
3 - 1
SAR
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 0
ATL
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 1
DYJ
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
4 - 1
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |