Sarmiento II vs Atl. Tucumán II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 2
SAR
43%
23%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
SAR
46%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
3 - 2
DYJ
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
IND
4 - 2
SAR
51%
23%
27%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 3
TAL
48%
22%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
NOB
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GLP
0 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 2
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 3
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
HUR
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |