Sarmiento Leones vs Estudiantes Río Cuarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TIR
3 - 0
SAR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
CAA
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAC
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAR
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ATL
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
TIR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 1
EST
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
EST
4 - 2
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 2
EST
15%
20%
66%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |