Sarmiento Leones vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
ALP
0 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
TIR
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
EST
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 2
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
CAA
3 - 0
ATE
83%
12%
6%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 0
CAA
11%
17%
72%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CAA
3 - 2
ALP
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 1
CAA
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAA
4 - 2
RAC
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |