Sarmiento Leones vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
RAC
27%
23%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAR
31%
25%
44%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
ALI
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 2
SAR
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 3
ALP
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAA
36%
24%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 1
EST
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 0
CAA
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -3 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CAA
2 - 2
RAC
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
ARG
1 - 0
CAA
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |