Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 2-0
Sarmiento La Banda vs Sportivo Fernández analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
SAR
12%
20%
69%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SAR
8 - 0
BQR
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CCU
1 - 1
SAR
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BQR
0 - 2
SAR
13%
20%
68%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Fernández
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
SAR
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FER
3 - 3
CCU
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
CCU
0 - 0
FER
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
IFE
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDI
0 - 1
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |