Sarmiento La Banda vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis

Sarmiento La Banda Independiente Chivilcoy
72 ELO 65
-17.4% Tilt -27.5%
1793º General ELO ranking 2419º
78º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Sarmiento La Banda
27.4%
Draw
17.2%
Independiente Chivilcoy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Sarmiento La Banda
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
17.2%
Win probability
Independiente Chivilcoy
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Sarmiento La Banda
Their league position
Independiente Chivilcoy
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Olimpo
3
16
28.5%
Atletico Rafaela
1
14
10.5%
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
17º
0
14
10%
Ciudad De Bolívar
3
14
8%
Sarmiento La Banda
3
14
8.5%
Sportivo Belgrano
3
13
7%
San Martín Formosa
16º
0
11
5.5%
Argentino Monte Maíz
14º
0
11
5.5%
Cipolletti
12º
0
11
7%
Douglas Haig
15º
0
11
10º
4%
Costa Brava
3
10
11º
9%
9 de Julio Rafaela
1
9
12º
6%
Independiente Chivilcoy
1
9
13º
10.5%
Kimberley Mar del Plata
11º
1
9
14º
7.5%
Juventud Antoniana
13º
0
9
15º
8%
CSyB Atenas
1
8
16º
11.5%
Deportivo Rincón
18º
0
8
17º
11.5%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
10º
1
6
18º
17.5%
Expected probabilities
Sarmiento La Banda
Independiente Chivilcoy
Next round
54% 3.5%
Play-offs
28% 22.5%
Mid-table
18% 74%

ELO progression

Sarmiento La Banda
Independiente Chivilcoy
Juventud Antoniana
9 de Julio Rafaela
San Martín Formosa
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sarmiento La Banda
Sarmiento La Banda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2025
DHA
Douglas Haig
0 - 1
Sarmiento La Banda
SAR
44%
30%
26%
71 70 1 0
13 Jul. 2025
SOL
Sol de América Formosa
1 - 1
Sarmiento La Banda
SAR
40%
30%
30%
71 64 7 0
06 Jul. 2025
SAR
Sarmiento La Banda
1 - 0
Atletico Rafaela
RAF
33%
30%
38%
70 76 6 +1
23 Jun. 2025
ABM
Bartolomé Mitre
0 - 1
Sarmiento La Banda
SAR
49%
30%
21%
69 70 1 +1
15 Jun. 2025
SAR
Sarmiento La Banda
1 - 0
Boca Unidos
BUC
53%
26%
22%
69 59 10 0

Matches

Independiente Chivilcoy
Independiente Chivilcoy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2025
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 - 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
9DJ
46%
29%
25%
65 62 3 0
12 Jul. 2025
SPB
Sportivo Belgrano
0 - 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
IND
48%
29%
23%
65 67 2 0
05 Jul. 2025
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 - 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
SLP
43%
28%
29%
64 61 3 +1
28 Jun. 2025
BHU
Ben Hur
0 - 0
Independiente Chivilcoy
IND
20%
29%
50%
64 51 13 0
22 Jun. 2025
IND
Independiente Chivilcoy
0 - 0
Douglas Haig
DHA
31%
29%
41%
64 70 6 0