Sarmiento La Banda vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
7º
2º
5
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
SAR
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
9DJ
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 0
SAR
68%
22%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
SAR
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
9DJ
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
DFR
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DFR
0 - 0
SOL
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
DFR
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SPB
0 - 0
DFR
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |