Sarmiento La Banda vs Boca Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
55.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
3º
2º
14
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
AHZ
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
ALP
47%
26%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
0 - 0
SAR
35%
31%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAR
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
BUC
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 0
CEN
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
9DJ
2 - 0
BUC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
SOL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JAN
2 - 2
BUC
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |