Sarmiento La Banda vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+314%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POL
4 - 1
INS
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
GYT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CON
0 - 3
POL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
POL
3 - 2
FAM
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |