Sarmiento La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
7º
2º
5
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 17 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarmiento La Banda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 0
SAR
68%
22%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
CEN
22%
28%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
SAR
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
SAR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
JAN
2 - 1
SAR
42%
30%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
9DJ
34%
30%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
9DJ
3 - 1
GIM
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 2
9DJ
43%
27%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
2 - 1
DPR
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 1
9DJ
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |