Ayacucho vs Sansinena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 0
VDM
84%
12%
5%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BVI
2 - 2
SAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 2
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
KIM
2 - 2
SAR
73%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
5 - 0
TRE
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +4 |
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
LIN
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
BVI
74%
16%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
SAN
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
KIM
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 5
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |