Ayacucho vs Kimberley Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
45.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+214%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FRR
1 - 0
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
JNJ
1 - 3
SAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kimberley Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
KIM
1 - 0
ARG
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
KIM
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
KIM
1 - 0
CDC
16%
22%
61%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
KIM
3 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AME
0 - 0
KIM
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |