Ayacucho vs Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
KIM
2 - 2
SAR
73%
17%
9%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SAR
5 - 0
TRE
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +4 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
SCS
82%
12%
6%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
RAO
1 - 0
SAR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Sud Olavarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FER
0 - 1
LIN
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BVI
2 - 4
FER
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
VDM
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
FER
2 - 2
KIM
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
TRE
0 - 5
FER
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +2 |