Ayacucho vs Circulo Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 4
SAR
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
KIM
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FRR
1 - 0
SAR
18%
21%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 1
GER
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Circulo Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDC
2 - 1
ARG
87%
11%
3%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
AME
0 - 1
CDC
13%
21%
66%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 2
BAL
88%
10%
3%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
KIM
1 - 0
CDC
16%
22%
61%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CDC
2 - 3
CEN
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -2 |