Sarawak FA vs USM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarawak FA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
SAR
3 - 0
PDR
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
PKN
2 - 0
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
KEB
0 - 3
SAR
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SIM
1 - 1
SAR
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 0
DRB
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
USM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
USM
1 - 0
HAR
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
USM
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
USM
2 - 1
JOH
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
PKN
4 - 0
USM
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 5
USM
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |