Sarajevo vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
3º
3º
82
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 3
SAR
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 0
SLO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 6
SAR
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
SAR
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
GOS
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
SAR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ZEP
1 - 2
ZRI
31%
24%
44%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
ZRI
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |