Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-2
Sarajevo vs Zeta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 1
LSO
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
LSO
1 - 0
SAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 4
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
BBL
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zeta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 0
JJK
46%
23%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
3 - 2
ZET
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
ZET
1 - 2
PYU
52%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
PYU
0 - 3
ZET
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
ZET
4 - 2
BER
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |