Sarajevo vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
10º
4º
59
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
SAR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
POS
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SLO
74%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
FTK
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 2
SAR
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
GOS
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
5 - 0
ZBE
80%
15%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
TMS
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
POS
71%
17%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |