Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
3º
3º
7
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BBL
2 - 0
SAR
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BBL
0 - 2
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
ZRI
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GOS
0 - 2
SAR
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 1
BBL
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 3
RAD
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
BBL
2 - 0
SLO
66%
23%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
ZRI
5 - 0
SLO
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ZRI
3 - 2
SLO
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |